Outkick Gambling Picks Week 13
The Vikings and Cowboys kicked off week 13 in the NFL on Thursday night, with Dallas squeaking out a tight road win to give them their 11th win in a row. The loss drops the Vikings to 6-6 and ends up being their sixth defeat in their last seven games following a 5-0 start.
It’s amazing how things can change after the start of the year. Tony Romo went down and the Cowboys lost their season debut, prompting fear of another lost season for Dallas. On the flip side, the Vikings traded for Sam Bradford, who looked solid enough as Minnesota ripped off five straight wins.
Instead of Minnesota being that hot Super Bowl team, though, it’s now the Cowboys, who own the best record in the entire league and don’t appear to be going away anytime soon.
The rest of the league still has time to hammer out their respective spots, however. The Patriots and Raiders are both right there with Dallas, sitting pretty at 9-2. There is a lot to be decided, however, with the AFC North, AFC South, AFC West, NFC North and NFC South completely up for grabs with five weeks to go.
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With so much on the line, we need to brace for some upsets and some crazy divisional games. Let’s see which side of the fence we should be leaning with our NFL betting in week 13:
Sep 13, 2019 Outkick the Coverage Verified account @Outkick. Catch @Outkick with @ClayTravis from 6am-9am ET on @FoxSportsRadio, & also #OutkickTheShow on Periscope 3pm ET daily. For tweets from Clay, follow @ClayTravis. Nov 21, 2017 Well, I hope all of you loaded up on Mizzou this past weekend for the first time ever bet your kid’s college fund guarantee. Because we didn’t just cover, we covered by 20 points. Spend some of your bet your college fund winnings on Outkick Gear, or a VIP membership, because we have a holiday. Nov 21, 2018 The weekly Outkick picks are presented by SportsBookReview.com, which features the best one stop shop to compare prices on games anywhere on the Internet. The site will also let you know which side all the betting action is on, which is a pretty phenomenal resource as well. So here we go with the Outkick picks presented by SportsBookReview.
The 49ers lost last week by two yards and they’ll head to Chicago to face Matt Barkley in week 13. Chip Kelly’s squad is painfully close to their second win since winning in week one, and a date with Barkley feels like their best bet yet.
The Bears oddly put forth some decent offense with Barkley at the helm last week, but banking on the former USC standout shredding a second consecutive defense is a dangerous game. Instead, with both of these teams looking all kinds of awful, we’ll give the edge to the mild underdog.
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PickThe Texans badly need to stop the bleeding their current two-game skid has caused, but it could be tough in Green Bay, where the Packers are 3-2 on the year. Houston’s ugly 1-4 road record doesn’t help, either, while Aaron Rodgers and co. bounced back in a big way last week and kept their playoff hopes alive.
Green Bay still isn’t defending all that well or running the ball effectively, but if what we saw of Rodgers last week continues, they’re suddenly dangerous again. The deciding factor isn’t the Packers, however. It’s the continued slide for the inept Brock Osweiler. If he can’t take advantage of Green Bay’s terrible defense, the Texans might as well find a way to move on.
That being said, the Texans still have Lamar Miller, DeAndre Hopkins and a solid defense. They might lose, but it won’t be by much.
PickDetroit has astonishingly won all seven of their games this year despite trailing at some point in every game. That’s a testament of luck or clutch ability, but chances are we’ll find out more in week 13 when they take on the Saints.
The Lions aren’t nearly as sneaky (2-3) on the road, while Drew Brees and co. tend to thrive at home. Detroit’s defense shouldn’t have much of an answer in this matchup, as the Saints pull back into the NFC South division race and Detroit drops to 7-5.
PickThe betting info is locked at online gambling sites like Bovada right now for this game, as Broncos quarterback Trevor Siemian is still iffy to play. That could shove Paxton Lynch onto the field for his second career start and potentially hurts Denver’s chances of getting their eighth win of the year.
Then again, they’re facing the Jaguars, who have dropped six in a row. Denver’s defense and running game should be able to walk to a win this week, regardless of who is under center.
PickCarson Wentz has flashed serious upside in his rookie season, but last week we saw just how shaky he still can be. That may have been the last straw for the Eagles, who are 1-5 on the road and now have dropped two in a row.
The Bengals are skidding even worse (four straight non-win weeks), but they’re at home and have to get something going eventually. Given Philly’s awful road woes this year, another weak showing from Wentz isn’t a bad bet in what is a pick’em game.
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PickThe Dolphins look to win their seventh straight this week, when they head out to Baltimore. Their hot run makes them look possible, but they’ve been sputtering ever so close to another loss, as they’ve barely beaten the likes of the 49ers, Rams, Chargers and Jets over the last four weeks.
In fact, Miami is surviving by the skin of their teeth so much, that each of their last five wins have come by a touchdown or less. Throw in their shaky 2-3 road record and Baltimore’s need to win to stay in front of the Steelers in the AFC North, and we tend to favor the Ravens this week.
PickThis is another intense game, as the Chiefs need to win to keep pace with the 9-2 Raiders and the Falcons can’t afford to lose with the Buccaneers breathing down their neck. This one might end up being chalked up to home field advantage, as well as strengths and weaknesses possibly cancelling each other out.
Kansas City wins defensively but certainly loses offensively. They’ve been strong (4-2) on the road, but Atlanta is a tough place to win and the Falcons boast the most explosive offense in the league. Odds are Matt Ryan and co. get the last laugh in this one. I’ll even take it one step further and call this one for ATL in overtime.
PickThis might be one of the toughest games to call this week, as the 9-2 Raiders are among the hottest teams in the NFL and they get a decent Bills team that is back in the playoff picture after winning two in a row.
Usually it’d be easy to side with Oakland, but quarterback Derek Carr has a banged up finger and for whatever reason, both of the Raiders’ two losses have come on their home field. They tend to play games down to the final minute, too, so if Rex Ryan and co. are within striking distance, they look like a fun upset pick.
PickNew York has been awesome lately, ripping off six straight wins as they state their case for a spot in the playoffs. Something about the Giants never feels quite right, however, and a trip to Heinz Field against a dangerous Steelers team does nothing to quell that fear.
Ben Roethlisberger is money at home and the Steelers are currently neck and neck with the Ravens atop the AFC North. They can ill afford to blow this one at home.
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This is another weird game, as the Cardinals seem all but dead after losing two straight, and the Redskins could start to regress after coming up short against Dallas on Thanksgiving Day. It’s also never easy to get wins in Arizona, while the Redskins are just a middling unit (2-2-1) on the road.
Carson Palmer has regressed and Arizona’s defense has fallen on rough times, so buying an Arizona turnaround is a reach. Washington is playing excellent football, on the other hand, and needs this win to stay in the race for a wild card spot.
PickOutkick Gambling Picks Week 13 Against The Spread
Jared Goff flashed promise in New Orleans for one last week, then promptly fell apart and took the Rams with him. It’s unlikely he’ll have a better showing on the road against the 9-2 Patriots.
New England could have their spirits down with the news of star tight end Rob Gronkowski (back) going down for the year, but they’re not about to add to their sorrows with a crushing home loss to L.A.
PickYou have to marvel at the way Philip Rivers and co. gun with just about anyone, as the Bolts kept their faint playoff hopes alive last week and keep trucking along. They aren’t a realistic playoff contender at 5-6, however, and given the injuries this team has suffered, the feeling is the wheels have to come off eventually.
Even if that doesn’t happen, the Chargers have lost a lot of close games and Tampa Bay has much more to play for. After beating the Chiefs and Seahawks, the Bucs shouldn’t blow a shot at the NFC South with a bad loss this week. Even better – they’re the underdog.
PickCam Newton and co. breathed their last playoff breath with their seventh loss last week, yet they have to keep moving forward with a trip to Seattle next on the docket. That doesn’t bode well for these Panthers, who are just 1-4 on the road and have little left to play for.
Seattle was terrible last week and they’ve certainly had their ups and downs, but they’ll be at home, where they’re a comfortable 5-0 in 2016. They might get a stiff test here if Carolina shows up, but they seem to find a way to win in front of their home crowd.
PickThe last game of the week comes between the Colts and Jets on Monday Night Football, where Andrew Luck (concussion) is tentatively expected to return to the field. Luck sat out as the Colts got thumped by the Steelers last week, and he’ll be chomping at the bit to face a bad New York secondary.
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Indy is a volatile pick, both because they’re on the road and they’ve been erratic all year, but with Luck back in the saddle, they seem safe. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been awful and the Jets are just 3-7 on the year, so they don’t feel like a great team to roll with.
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